Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.788189 0.903709 1.029453 1.176382 1.343250 1.526768 1.743798
2024-12-22 0.608804 0.763382 0.946215 1.177968 1.463463 1.803204 2.237739
2024-12-29 0.493807 0.672180 0.899783 1.210414 1.622160 2.147955 2.868997
2025-01-05 0.392679 0.577223 0.829950 1.199314 1.723059 2.436436 3.478733
2025-01-12 0.325875 0.514372 0.789909 1.218724 1.865333 2.799096 4.243694
2025-01-19 0.263013 0.444076 0.725527 1.190134 1.932056 3.063170 4.907971
2025-01-26 0.229819 0.412716 0.713412 1.237073 2.117749 3.527464 5.937938
2025-02-02 0.205506 0.390895 0.711985 1.299545 2.335946 4.070726 7.167881
2025-02-09 0.177933 0.357703 0.685011 1.312956 2.471983 4.495855 8.259387
2025-02-16 0.153564 0.325482 0.653755 1.312472 2.581557 4.887656 9.343155
2025-02-23 0.133883 0.298434 0.627172 1.315456 2.696183 5.300766 10.516345
2025-03-02 0.117324 0.274470 0.602280 1.316978 2.806745 5.718201 11.748458
2025-03-09 0.105392 0.258517 0.591719 1.347394 2.982314 6.288653 13.363495
2025-03-16 0.092079 0.236800 0.565240 1.339846 3.078557 6.715381 14.750540
2025-03-23 0.083368 0.224195 0.556710 1.370287 3.260472 7.340466 16.627308
2025-03-30 0.072862 0.204980 0.529616 1.353742 3.335519 7.749448 18.098403
2025-04-06 0.065832 0.193267 0.518387 1.372851 3.494965 8.361943 20.092538
2025-04-13 0.057079 0.175041 0.487751 1.339091 3.523771 8.684835 21.475533
2025-04-20 0.053335 0.170095 0.490436 1.390465 3.768410 9.535812 24.186529
2025-04-27 0.050626 0.167621 0.499294 1.459519 4.067655 10.552851 27.415683
2025-05-04 0.046088 0.158627 0.488636 1.473976 4.227396 11.250647 29.953001
2025-05-11 0.041551 0.148639 0.473382 1.473090 4.346105 11.860850 32.346603
2025-05-18 0.037664 0.139907 0.460264 1.476194 4.476267 12.516269 34.935302